Oleh/By		:	DATO' SERI DR. 
			MAHATHIR BIN MOHAMAD 
Tempat/Venue 	: 	SHANGRILA HOTEL, KUALA LUMPUR 
Tarikh/Date 	: 	22/01/99 
Tajuk/Title  	: 	THE AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL 
			ASSURANCE (AIA) 50TH ANNIVERSARY
			DINNER AND THE LAUNCHING OF THE 
			5OTH ANNIVERSARY LOGO 



        It  gives me great pleasure to be here with you  this
  evening   to  celebrate  the  50th  Anniversary   of   AIA
  Malaysia. Five decades is certainly a long period of  time
  for  41  year-old  Malaysia.  Many of you  were  not  born
  then; Malaysia too was not yet an independent country.  As
  a   developing  economy,  attracting  foreign  investments
  seems  less difficult than persuading them to stay  on  in
  the  country  through  the booms  and  busts  of  economic
  cycles.   Most seek quick gains rather than steady  normal
  profits  or good average returns.  For the AIA,  its  long
  and  steadfast commercial presence in Malaysia has clearly
  paid  off.  Business is good business only if the  clients
  also  benefit.   Then they will continue to contribute  to
  the  survival and continued success of the business in the
  future.   A  once-off business that profits by  maximising
  returns  at the expense of the clients cannot last.   That
  the  AIA  is still around after 50 years defines in  which
  category it belongs.
  
  2.    As  with  any business cycle, economic deterioration
  must  eventually  give way to economic recovery.  Economic
  stagnation    maybe   prolonged,  but   has   never   been
  permanent.  The  duration depends  on  many  factors,  not
  least  the  management and the policies  devised  to  deal
  with  the  downturn.  Malaysia has chosen  rather  radical
  methods  to deal with the financial and economic  turmoil.
  Some say Malaysia will fail, some say the success will  be
  limited and of short duration.  The truth is that none  of
  these   wise  people  have  ever  actually  handled   real
  problems  in  real countries.  They have  certainly  never
  experienced the effects of deliberate, massive and  severe
  attacks   as  have  been  mounted  on  the  countries   of
  Southeast  Asia.   And so their analysis  and  conclusions
  are  basically guesswork.  They may be right but they  may
  also be wrong.
  
  3.    What  is  a  fact  is  that the  so-called  loss  of
  confidence on the part of the currency traders  and  stock
  market  raiders and their actions have destroyed economies
  which were once described as miracle economies because  of
  their high growth and wealth creation.  The allegation  is
  that the growth was unhealthy, based on bad practices  and
  should be destroyed in order to enable a clean-up to  take
  place.   Phoenix it seems would rise from the  ashes.   If
  the  destroyers, the currency traders and  market  raiders
  happen  to  make handsome profits while doing the  hatchet
  work,  that  is  incidental.  It should not  detract  from
  their  good  intentions to bring about better  Governments
  and better business practices.
  
  4.    Malaysia  is  not taken in by these destructive  do-
  gooders.   We recognise them for what they are.   We  know
  they  are  powerful  and  they are  backed  by  even  more
  powerful  forces.  We know that behind all these  is  pure
  greed  that  cares nothing for the well-being  of  others.
  But  we  believe that if they destroy us, in the end  they
  will  destroy themselves too.  When business  people  care
  nothing  for  their  clients,  when  they  destroy   their
  clients,  they  must  eventually  lose  their  source   of
  income.  It is a simple fact that the destruction of  your
  market will destroy you.
  
  5.    Today  we are seeing the effect of that destruction.
  Real  business and real profits are no longer contributing
  to  the  growth  of the world.  For a time there  will  be
  make-believe wealth in the form of inflated share  prices.
  But  the share prices do not reflect the real business  or
  the  profits  made.  They are just figures on the  screen.
  Interest  rates  cannot be lowered  forever  in  order  to
  support the share market.  Nor can the economists and  the
  media  talk  up  the market indefinitely.   Sooner  rather
  than later the bubble will burst.
  
  6.    Malaysia  has been able to manage the financial  and
  economic  turmoil fairly well.  We have  not  had  to  beg
  from  the  IMF.  We still have full employment.   We  have
  more  than  enough food and medicine.  We are  politically
  stable  and  racially harmonious.  But we  are  a  trading
  nation and a trading nation needs healthy partners.
  
  7.    When  the  bubble  bursts  we  cannot  help  but  be
  affected.  So our problems are far from over.  We must  be
  prepared for a possible worldwide deflation.  They say  it
  would  not  happen.  But they have been wrong  many  times
  before.  And they can be wrong again.
  
  8.    Today we are celebrating the 50th anniversary of  an
  insurance company.  Insurance we know is intended to  take
  care  of  the  risks and the troubles of the  future.   By
  putting aside some money today we can ensure that we  will
  have money for unforeseen misfortunes in the future.
  
  9.    Since  there is a high possibility of  a  world-wide
  depression  affecting  us in the  future  we  must  insure
  against  it.   Malaysians  are  great  savers.    We   are
  disciplined.   We  work  hard.  We think  that  our  well-
  being,  our  country is our responsibility.   We  have  to
  continue with these habits and cultural traits.
  
  10.   If  the expected deflation does not take  place,  we
  can  be  sure  there will be other challenges.   There  is
  much  talk  today about globalisation, about a  borderless
  world.  We are getting ready to open up our borders.   But
  we  are not getting ready to handle the problems that will
  come with opening borders.
  
  11.   We  have  had  a  foretaste  of  globalisation  when
  capital  was pulled out from our country and our  currency
  was  devalued.   We did not anticipate that  and  we  were
  therefore  unprepared to deal with  these  abuses  of  the
  free  flow  of capital.  We have been fortunate  in  being
  able to contain these activities eventually.
  
  12.   But  we now see the preparations being made  by  the
  rich  in  order to take advantage of globalisation.   Huge
  banks,  industries and utilities are being formed  through
  mergers  and  acquisition.  Each one of  these  is  bigger
  than   most  of  the  developing  countries.    Each   can
  literally swallow up these countries.  There is  no  doubt
  that  their intention is to monopolise the field that they
  are in.
  
  13.   The  tiny  banks, industries and  utilities  in  the
  developing  countries will be swallowed up  by  them  once
  the  borders  are  down.   In any  case  it  will  not  be
  possible  to  compete with these giants.  Their  economies
  of scale will be simply unbeatable.
  
  14.    Governments   cannot   protect.    Protection    of
  businesses  owned  by nationals will be labelled  cronyism
  and  nepotism.   Only foreign takeovers will  be  free  of
  such  accusations.    Eventually the foreign  giants  will
  take  over  everything.  The competition will  be  between
  them.  We will all work for them.
  
  15.    Globalisation  can  mean  this.   We  have  to  ask
  ourselves   whether   we   want   to   be   employees   of
  international foreign-owned giants or owners and  managers
  of our own little banks and industries.
  
  16.   The  intellectuals and social  activists  are  still
  jousting  at  their favourite windmills.  They  are  being
  encouraged to do so.  They are well-supported, given  full
  publicity.  They are not aware that they are being used.
  
  17.   But  real thinking people, concerned nationals  must
  focus  on  what is being prepared for us.   We  have  seen
  what capital flows across borders can do to us.  When  the
  giant  corporations of the world step  over  our  borders,
  will  we have the benefit of scale and size or will we  be
  just sat upon and squashed?
  
  18.   At  the moment we can still fight against the trend.
  Globalisation  can be good if regulated, just  as  capital
  flows  can  be  good  if  regulated.   We  should  welcome
  globalisation but we must ensure that it will not be  open
  to abuses.
  
  19.   Malaysia is a small country.  We survive and prosper
  through  open trade, not aid.  But we know that  there  is
  no  perfection  in any system devised by  Man.   Men  will
  always  find  ways  to abuse anything designed  for  their
  good.  They will always find loopholes.
  
  20.   In this very challenging 'fin de siecle' environment
  Malaysians   must  learn  to  rely  more   and   more   on
  themselves.  We must be cautious when accepting  something
  new as proposed by others.
  
  21.      We     welcome    globalisation,    deregulation,
  liberalisation  and borderlessness but we must  know  what
  all  these  mergers and acquisitions and the consolidation
  of  the  giants are all about.  Are they preparing  for  a
  world  invasion, for world-wide monopolies,  for  economic
  hegemony?   If they are and it looks as if they are,  then
  if  we  cannot halt them, we must appeal for time.  Please
  don't  use  the IMF to prise open our markets to  pick  up
  things on the cheap.
  
  22.   Don't accuse us of cronyism if we try to protect our
  people  from these predatory giants.  It is our  right  to
  defend  ourselves and our independence.  We do  not  fight
  for  independence  only  to be  trampled  under  and  made
  worker bees to foreign queens.
  
  23.   We welcome foreign investors nevertheless.  That  is
  why  we  are happy that AIA is here celebrating  its  50th
  anniversary.  AIA has been a good corporate  citizen.   It
  has  invested  most of its earnings in this  country.   It
  understands  that  we are not just  a  market  for  it  to
  exploit using its superior skills and massive capital.  It
  is  a  partner and not a foreign exploiter.   It  respects
  our  laws  and  our  policies.   I  am  sure  even  in   a
  globalised world it will continue to do so.
  
  24.   So  I am happy to wish AIA a Happy 50th Anniversary.
  I  would  like to congratulate my friend, Hank  Greenberg,
  for  his  many successes in this field and in others.   He
  has  conducted  his  relations  with  us  with  diplomatic
  finesse and he has succeeded because of that.
  
  25.   I  am  sure  the  American  International  Assurance
  Company  will  go from strength to strength  in  Malaysia.
  The  Malaysian  Government will always  extend  a  helping
  hand  in  the name of Malaysia Incorporated and I am  sure
  the AIA will similarly cooperate with the Government.   It
  will  be  good  for everyone, the company, the  Government
  and  the  people of Malaysia.  It will result  in  win-win
  for  everyone  concerned, not a  zero  sum  in  which  the
  winner takes all.
  
  26.   And  so, Ladies and Gentlemen, I take great pleasure
  in launching the 50th Anniversary Logo of the AIA.

 




 




 
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