Oleh/By  	:	THE HON DATO SERI DR 
			MAHATHIR BIN MOHAMAD
Tempat/Venue	:	THE NIKKO HOTEL, KUALA LUMPUR
Tarikh/Date	:	16/07/2001
Tajuk/Title 	:	THE MALAYSIAN ELECTRIC POWER 
			FORUM 2001
Versi 		:	BI
Penyampai	:  	PM 
		    

   
   "   THE   CHANGING  STRUCTURE  OF  THE  ELECTRIC   POWER
   INDUSTRY: AN UPDATE "
   
   
   I  would  like to thank the organisers, the Ministry  of
   Energy,  Communication and Multimedia,  Tenaga  Nasional
   Berhad  and ASLI for inviting me to deliver this keynote
   address  before leaders, experts and executives  in  the
   energy   and  electric  power  industry.  I   join   the
   organisers   to   bid  a  warm  welcome   to   all   the
   distinguished  delegates  to  this  Malaysian   Electric
   Power Forum 2001.
   
   2.   Malaysia  has  enjoyed  electricity  for  more than 
   100 years.   We have seen the industry  transformed from 
   its  humble  beginnings  in  the form of isolated plants 
   supplying  mining  operations  into  localised  district 
   supply systems supplying the commercial,  industrial and 
   domestic sectors.   This  was  followed by central power 
   stations   making  their  appearance  because  of  their  
   economies  of  scale,  accompanied  by  construction  of
   transmission  lines  and a  national  grid supplying the
   whole nation from end to end. All things are familiar in 
   the development of electricity use  in  most  countries. 
   But Malaysia made a special effort to supply electricity 
   to the rural areas  including to the poor.  The homes of 
   the poor are frequently  separated by  miles of  forests
   and hilly land and  supplying them costs uneconomic sums 
   of money.  But we feel they deserve to have  electricity 
   without giving any return on the outlay.  It is a social
   duty. Today, we have achieved rural electricity coverage
   of more than 93 per cent in  the  country.  With  almost 
   universal   coverage   in   Peninsular   Malaysia,   our
   priorities  for  the RM856.6  million  allocated  in the 
   Eighth Malaysian Plan,  will be the rural communities in
   Sabah and Sarawak.
   
   3.    The  Government's active role in the industry  has
   been  one  of the key factors leading to the  spread  of
   electricity  use. By creating a centralised  electricity
   board  in  the middle of the 20th century, consolidating
   all  the  municipal operations, the transition  into  an
   interconnected national network system at  minimal  cost
   was  made  possible.   The single utility  also  ensured
   that  engineers  and technicians could move  around  the
   country,  building expertise and managing projects  more
   efficiently  and effectively.  Efficient and  economical
   thermal power plants could be built to supply, not  just
   the  locality,  but also any part of  the  country.  But
   most  importantly,  as  a  centralised  Government-owned
   utility,  it  was easier for the industry  to  seek  and
   receive  the required funding to finance the investments
   either   from  the  Government  or  through   Government
   guarantees.
   
   4.   However, times have changed.
   
   5.    One  of the industries that became the target  for
   privatisation  and  liberalisation  in  many   countries
   during  the  1990s was the electric power industry.  Run
   for  many decades as national monopolies, the demand for
   power  increased so rapidly that the Governments  became
   unable  to  build  the power plants  fast  enough.   The
   Government   monopoly,   usually  unprofitable,   became
   unwieldy,   inefficient  and  a  drain   on   Government
   coffers.   Privatisation of the power industry began  to
   look  more  and more as an attractive alternative.   The
   problem  was the form of privatisation which  would  not
   result  in  the  social needs becoming  neglected.   The
   private  enterprises must look for the  bottom  line  in
   order  to  justify  investments  of  huge  sums  in  new
   plants.   This may end up in power being too costly  and
   the  cost  of living going up too fast for the  good  of
   the country.
   
   6.    In  countries  that  already  have  investor-owned
   electric  power utilities - Western Europe and the  U.S.
   for  example - Governments embarked on establishing some
   kind  of market mechanisms, popularly called the  "power
   pool"  where  electric power generators  could  bid  and
   sell  bulk  power  to  distribution companies  or  large
   customers.    It  was  believed  that  this  competitive
   bidding would keep electricity rates low.
   
   7.    Other countries have tried to customise their  own
   initiatives to suit their local conditions.  For a  time
   the  competitive bidding by power suppliers was believed
   to  be  the  ideal  way of managing electricity  supply.
   Many  countries, were adopting or seriously  considering
   adopting   the   market  mechanism.    Then   came   the
   persistent  breakdown  in  power  supply  in  California
   where the system had been used for a very long period.
   
   8.    Apparently  what happened was the  dismantling  of
   plants  by those power suppliers who had failed  to  win
   bids.   The plants were idle, and even in idleness  much
   money had to be spent on maintenance.  Yet there was  no
   income.   The  logical thing to do was  to  close  down.
   When  demand  suddenly picked up there was  no  stand-by
   power to fall back on.  And building new plants takes  a
   long  time.   In the meantime black-outs and  brown-outs
   have to be endured by the highly developed state of  the
   U.S.  and  its  very  rich  people.   In  a  third-world
   country  this  can  be accepted, but  not  in  a  highly
   developed country.
   
   9.    The electricity industry is peculiar in that there
   must  always  be  a fairly big reserve power  available.
   Obviously  the  reserve capacity will  not  earn  money.
   Who  should  be  responsible for these stand-by  plants?
   Surely  not  the  companies which had  not  won  in  the
   supply  bid.   Even  those  which  won  would  want   to
   minimise their cost by selling all the power they  could
   generate.   In  the end the stand-by capacity  would  be
   neglected  in  favour  of  lower  bidding  prices.   The
   result  is an inability to meet sudden surges  in  power
   demand or when a major breakdown occurs.
   
   10.     Because   of   the  disastrous   experience   of
   California  many, including Malaysia, are more  cautious
   in  restructuring the electricity industry.  It  is  too
   important  an  industry to be left  entirely  to  market
   forces.   As I said earlier, in Malaysia, we have  built
   a  system  that has progressively become more  and  more
   technically sophisticated and reliable. By doing so,  we
   have   also   developed  our  technical  and  scientific
   manpower  resources  and  this  is  important  for   the
   advancement  of our country. We should not  risk  losing
   this  technical  aspect  and  our  objective  should  be
   towards  building  a  high  quality  electricity  supply
   system for the people aimed at keeping the lights on  at
   reasonable  prices.  With this objective  in  mind,  the
   Government   has   decided  that  we  re-look   at   the
   restructuring  in  the  light of recent  experiences  in
   other  countries.  The power pool and biddings to supply
   need  not  be the best solution to aim for in the  short
   or medium term.
   
   11.   The present electric power industry has served the
   country  well.  However, this does not mean  we  do  not
   need  any  change. Change is still necessary.  We  still
   subscribe  to the concept of competition and  efficiency
   but  should maintain adequacy, reliability, quality  and
   security of supply as the first priorities. We need  not
   follow  blindly  models that have been adopted  in  more
   advanced  countries  that are not really  applicable  to
   us.  We  do  not want to risk entering a situation  that
   will  cost us so much more to undo when things go wrong.
   It  would  be better to progress one step at a time  and
   with  enough time to measure the effect of those changes
   before  proceeding with the next. We have learned enough
   from  the  experience of the Asian financial  crisis  of
   1997,  so  as not to be over-dependent on market  forces
   which   economists  so  mistakenly  believe   as   being
   "perfect".
   
   12.  The introduction of Independent Power Producers  or
   IPPs in Malaysia was intended to instill competition  in
   the  industry.  Unfortunately, some  have  alleged  that
   IPPs  have  caused electricity to be more  expensive  to
   TNB.   But  this was merely a short-term temporary  cost
   that  was necessary to break the barriers of entry.   As
   the  IPP  industry matured, costs must  come  down,  and
   this has been well demonstrated.
   
   13.   What  we  need now is to evolve  and  refine  this
   model  further.  We  are  ready  to  introduce  a   more
   transparent  competitive bidding  process  as  the  next
   immediate  step, where IPPs can be expected  to  compete
   for  new  power  projects.  This will  generate  a  more
   competitive  pricing  structure. If  the  need  to  have
   enough  stand-by  capacity  is  always  borne  in  mind,
   eventually this should result in the fairest  prices  to
   all.    Winning  bids can be used as a basis  for  long-
   term power purchase contracts as an alternative to real-
   time  bidding  in  power  pooling  markets,  which   has
   experienced problems and raised doubts elsewhere.
   
   14.   Another  area  that will need  change  is  putting
   industry  planning in its proper place. In  the  absence
   of  the  so-called  power market, it  is  apparent  that
   planning for adequacy, reliability and future growth  in
   new    generation,    transmission   and    distribution
   capacities   must   be  carried  out   effectively   and
   independent  of the industry players. This  planning  is
   required  to determine when, where, what size  and  what
   plants  or power facilities will be required and offered
   for bidding.
   
   15.   As  a  first step, the Government established  the
   Energy  Commission, with effect from 1 May 2001, with  a
   view  to  increasing the effectiveness of the regulatory
   supervision  of  the  energy sector, more  specifically,
   the  electricity supply industry and the gas supply sub-
   sector   of   the   industry.   At  the  moment,   these
   regulatory  functions  are  the  responsibility  of  the
   Department  of  Electricity and Gas Supply,  which  will
   soon   be   dissolved   when  the  amendments   to   the
   Electricity Supply Act 1990 is passed by Parliament.
   
   16.   One  of the principal areas of responsibility  for
   the  Energy Commission will be the planning of  capacity
   adequacy  in  the electricity industry.  The  Commission
   will be entrusted with the task of calling for bids  for
   new  planting-up  programmes.  Apart from  the  planning
   function,   the   Energy   Commission   will   also   be
   responsible   for   the  promotion   of   research   and
   development;   improving  energy  efficiency   and   the
   productive  value of energy consumed; and the  promotion
   of  new  and renewable sources of energy.  The promotion
   of  renewable  energy and the efficient  utilisation  of
   our  energy  resources is part of our National  Strategy
   on   Fuel  Diversification  and  is  in  line  with  the
   sustainable development goals of the country.
   
   17.   The Government fully subscribes to the concept  of
   sustainable  development. In our pursuit of  growth  and
   development,  we  must  be  conscious  of   the   needs,
   expectations and higher aspirations of our children  and
   generations  to come.  We must pursue a growth  strategy
   that  places high priority on protecting and  leaving  a
   resource-rich  environment  for  the  benefit   of   our
   children   and   grandchildren.   That  is   our   moral
   obligation.  Although progress and economic  growth  are
   important  national priorities, we have been careful  to
   ensure  that  it  is not pursued at the expense  of  the
   environment.   From  a state of over dependence  on  oil
   before  the  oil crises of the 1970s, Malaysia  embarked
   on  a  fuel  diversification strategy  that  focused  on
   cleaner  resources  like natural gas  and  hydroelectric
   power.   In  1980, our power plants recorded 85  percent
   oil  consumption and today their dependence on  oil  has
   reduced to a mere 8 percent.  Natural gas usage in  this
   sector,  on  the other hand, increased  from  a  mere  1
   percent  in  1980 to more than 71 percent  in  the  year
   2000.
   
   18.   Today,  under the Third Outline Perspective  Plan,
   we  have  now  embarked  on a much  cleaner  fifth  fuel
   strategy  that  focuses on renewable sources  of  energy
   and  energy efficiency. A recent study completed by  the
   Government  has  shown  that the  renewable  sources  of
   energy   available  in  the  country  have  a  technical
   potential  of about 36 million tonnes of oil equivalent.
   This  is  a  huge resource that would be wasted  if  not
   adequately tapped.  Most of these resources are  biomass
   wastes  generated  by  our  industries  that  also  face
   problems in disposing them with minimal negative  impact
   upon our environment.
   
   19.   By  its  nature, electricity is a form  of  energy
   that  can  help  meet  the  objectives  for  sustainable
   growth.  It gives us multiple choices of primary  energy
   fuels  that  include  oil, coal,  gas,  hydro,  biomass,
   solar  and  various other forms of renewable energy.  It
   is  for  us  to establish the most economic and  optimal
   mix.   It  also gives the opportunity to generate  power
   at   locations  away  from  areas  of  high   population
   concentration  enabling  greater  opportunity  for   the
   environment to absorb any pollutants resulting from  the
   power  stations.  In addition, electricity  also  allows
   for  easy distribution, and helps remove the constraints
   of  power transport on the transmission and distribution
   networks.    It   is   this   flexibility   that   makes
   electricity  a  form  of energy that  can  be  moderated
   according  to  our  needs and concerns  for  sustainable
   development.
   
   20.    I  take  this  opportunity  to  congratulate  the
   Utilities  for  their  recent initiatives  in  promoting
   renewable  sources  of  energy, efficiency  improvements
   and  demand-side  management.  These efforts  should  be
   intensified  for  greater  economic  resilience  and  to
   enhance the nation's competitiveness.
   
   21.   Electricity  peak  demand in  Peninsular  Malaysia
   alone  has  grown from 3447 Megawatts in  1990  to  9948
   Megawatts  this year, and this is projected to  grow  by
   more  than 117 percent to 21,668 Megawatts in  the  year
   2010.   With  such  huge demand growth expected  in  the
   future, it is imperative that we achieve greater  energy
   efficiency.   Yet  another study completed  recently  by
   the  Government shows that if we were to  encourage  our
   industrial  and  commercial  sectors  to  improve  their
   energy  use  efficiency  by  a  mere  10  percent,   the
   resultant  total  national benefit  will  be  more  than
   RM5.8  billion over five years.  However, once efficient
   technology and practices are put in place, the  benefits
   will  continue to accrue over the life of the  equipment
   that can range from 10 to 15 years.
   
   22.   Until  Malaysia  reaches a  level  of  development
   envisioned in Vision 2020, we will continue to push  for
   rapid  growth. It is therefore imperative that we pursue
   a  strategy  that  meets  the demand  for  reliable  and
   quality  supply.  As stated earlier, in  the  1960s  and
   70s  our economy was fueled largely by oil. In the  last
   two  decades,  we  had gradually grown our  reliance  on
   natural  gas.   And,  it is obvious that  for  sustained
   future  growth,  we will need to further  diversify  our
   energy resources.  For this reason, the Government  will
   continue  to  advocate the promotion  of  the  renewable
   energy  and energy efficiency as the fifth fuel  in  its
   fuel  diversification strategy.  As a country generating
   considerable amounts of biomass wastes, notably  in  the
   palm  oil  and  wood industries, we have vast  potential
   for  substantial recovery of energy from  these  wastes.
   Since  the energy industry is set to see continued rapid
   growth,  greater  energy use efficiency  will  not  only
   help  reduce wastage and improve the competitiveness  of
   our  industrial  production,  it  will  also  facilitate
   sustainable growth through the maximisation of  resource
   utilisation.
   
   23.   Renewable energy and energy efficiency, being  new
   growth  industries  worldwide  with  growth  projections
   higher than the conventional energy business, offer  far
   greater  potential for entrepreneurial and technological
   development.  If a successful industry can  be  nurtured
   in  the  country early, Malaysia can quite easily assume
   leadership  positions in the export of new  technologies
   and  consultancy services in renewable energy and energy
   efficiency.
   
   24.   We  should  be  proud of the achievements  of  our
   electricity  supply industry.  Except  for  one  or  two
   glitches  in  the  history of the industry,  which  were
   good  lessons  in  our growth, we have  done  reasonably
   well.
   
   25.   Let  us learn from our mistakes, and persevere  to
   improve  the level of reliability, security and  quality
   of  electricity  supply in this  country.   For  a  fast
   growing  country  like  Malaysia,  priority  should   be
   placed  on  these  criteria rather than compromising  on
   them   simply   in   the   name   of   competition   and
   liberalisation.
   
   26.   If  it  is  greater efficiency and innovations  we
   need,  I  believe  that  we  can  achieve  this  through
   national   aspirations  and  stewardship.  I  hope   the
   culture  of cooperation and coordination among  all  the
   industry  players will continue, and together we  should
   strive  to  make  the  industry  more  efficient,  cost-
   effective,  and  progressive.  Maintaining  an  industry
   structure   consisting  of  IPPs  based  on  competitive
   bidding  in  the  generation  sector  should  instill  a
   competitive  spirit in the industry so  that  we  remove
   all  opportunities for complacency. This forum is a fine
   example  of  cooperation and coordination among  players
   in  the  industry,  and I hope your deliberations  would
   continue   to  enhance  this  spirit  of  exchange   and
   harmonisation.
   
   27.   On  that  note, it now gives me great pleasure  in
   declaring  the  Malaysian  Electric  Power  Forum   2001
   officially open.

   Sumber : Pejabat Perdana Menteri
    




    
    

             
 


 
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